Can this happen?
The memo asks:
“Could Trump be finally beginning to fade toward the margins of American political life? ”
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It is a weird question because, since his presidency in 2015, he is completely dominating the political scene. His steps have consumed the press and his political rivals.
Losing of the elections, his refusal to announce defeat, his incendiary rhetoric, and his second impeachment emerge over his successor.
Now, there are signals that he is losing his salience in politics.
In the beginning, he got a ban on Twitter. The ban cut his connection with his sympathizers. Twitter was his favorite media platform where he inserted himself in the day’s controversy.
Trump issues statements from his post-presidential office after leaving the presidency. But they don’t have the same impact on the public as his tweets.
There are also some signs from the Republican base, but we cannot say anything for sure.
Trump made the highest-profile public appearance at the CPAC, and he won the coveted straw poll.
The media are starting to abandon him. We say this because Trump’s speech was carried live only by Fox News, but it wasn’t held by CNN, MSNBC.
CNN experienced criticism because they spent so much airtime on Trump when he became president.
John Mac Stipanovich said:
“His appeal was so personal and was so omnipresent that his absence, it strikes me, has created something of a vacuum. No matter how much he is worshipped by some, I think there is an awareness that he was at the helm when Republicans lost the House, lost the Senate and lost the presidential election. He was a loser across the board.”
Also, Karl Rove, in his column published last month in The Wall Street Journal, said:
“Despite possessing all the powers of incumbency and leading a united GOP, Mr. Trump lost the presidency. If he returned for another White House contest, leading a divided party at war with itself and out of power, he’d be wiped out.”
Some sympathizers pushed back against the notion that there was any crucial dimming of his fortunes. But, some people remained to the attitude that Trump can repeat President Grover Cleveland’s mandates, the only one who served two nonconsecutive terms.
Trump’s hold on the Republican Party doesn’t appear to have loosened too much, even though Mitch McConnell, Senate Minority Leader, and Rep. Liz Cheney turned against him.
But, some members of the Trump base who made dissent move back into line, as the former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley and South Carolinian Sen. Lindsey Graham.
Senators Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, and Josh Hawley, and Governor Kristi Noem want to be as close as possible to Trump.
Mitt Romney shared his opinion that Trump would be the president of the U.S. in 2024 if he runs.
It is not 100% sure that Trump would run for the presidency in 2024.
Trump wants to keep an elevated prominence level, and he needs to defy historical precedent. There isn’t a president that has lost his reelection race and come back as an important candidate for the nomination.
Trump has a ‘rock star’ status among his supports, but it can be more fleeting.
As the Hill published:
“Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) was the object of adulation from a good portion of the GOP base even after her losing race as then-Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) service-presidential candidate in 2008. Yet, Palin’s attempt to build a TV career sputtered, and she has drifted to the margins of the political scene.”
But Trump is a way more significant figure than Palin!